0x75a7c49c67f1156fb6e260b3604091a1ce33a46e
0x75a7c49c67f1156fb6e260b3604091a1ce33a46e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.84
- Volume
- $90.63
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $2.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.966 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 1? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.720 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.145 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.75at 0.369WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.36at 0.430Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$1.36at 0.430Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?
- +$0.98at 0.510Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:29 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 1? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:51 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:18 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:27 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:39 | Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:39 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:37 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 23:10 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:34 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:01 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:39 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:11 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 15:16 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 18:35 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |