3aJlyna4ec
0x756f480520e11bdc55cf92f35d456e025a5ccb55
- Realised P&L
- $-11.38
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $14.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.91at 0.344U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$1.18at 0.811Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
- +$0.64at 0.610Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$0.47at 0.682Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$-0.03at 0.512Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 05:42 | Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 07:16 | Will Mobile Legends: Bang Bang Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 07:16 | Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 12:27 | Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.937999955 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 12:27 | Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 12:27 | Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 12:25 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 12:24 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 14:08 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 14:04 | Will Trump say "Death to America" in August? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 14:02 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 14:01 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 14:01 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.681999408 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 14:00 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.3439998624 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 13:57 | Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |