0x7562d4d7b1901c3cccef6ecb1951de32c9bf0681
- Realised P&L
- $-73.82
- Volume
- $43.0k
- Markets traded
- 449
- Open portfolio
- $79.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded449
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.10at 0.095Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$13.81at 0.087Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
- +$9.90at 0.100Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?
- +$8.98at 0.104Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$8.07at 0.120Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 20:06 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.0899999272 | $1.10 |
| 02-28 19:39 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 19:39 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 19:39 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.3339998864 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 17:19 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 16:54 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 16:00 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.1499998909 | $1.10 |
| 02-28 14:15 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 14:15 | Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division? | BUY | 0.2034512014 | $1.10 |
| 02-28 13:24 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 11:43 | Will Emma win Melodi Grand Prix 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 11:17 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.2829998695 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 10:53 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.069999944 | $1.10 |
| 02-28 10:13 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 10:03 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |