Crypton993513
0x755d8a435281273f4bbc7b634821d1666fe62721
- Realised P&L
- $814.17
- Volume
- $19.0k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $5.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes | 0.787 | 0.995 | $4.2k | +$880.89 |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · No | 0.351 | 0.110 | $650.84 | −$1.4k |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? · No | 0.741 | 0.870 | $556.80 | +$82.80 |
| Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? · No | 0.823 | 0.945 | $14.25 | +$1.84 |
| Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.962 | $2.80 | +$0.27 |
| Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.979 | $1.29 | +$0.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$781.10at 0.291Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?
- +$168.74at 0.584Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
- +$73.53at 0.883Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
- +$65.26at 0.888Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 80B in Q1?
- +$60.44at 0.836Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 03:10 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.8466069409 | $142.22 |
| 05-20 15:43 | Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 80B in Q1? | BUY | 0.89 | $74.60 |
| 05-20 15:41 | Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1? | BUY | 0.498 | $52.29 |
| 05-20 15:41 | Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 80B in Q1? | BUY | 0.88793 | $443.96 |
| 05-20 15:40 | Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1? | BUY | 0.498 | $18.16 |
| 05-20 13:25 | Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1? | BUY | 0.479 | $28.74 |
| 05-20 13:24 | Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1? | BUY | 0.4769160477 | $129.07 |
| 05-07 15:01 | Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 60B in Q1? | BUY | 0.91 | $44.59 |
| 05-05 14:33 | Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 60B in Q1? | BUY | 0.9066666667 | $27.20 |
| 04-23 13:42 | Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30? | BUY | 0.7046171429 | $98.65 |
| 04-16 16:31 | Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 65B in Q1? | BUY | 0.8729403459 | $24.73 |
| 04-16 16:31 | Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 60B in Q1? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 04-16 13:01 | Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 65B in Q1? | BUY | 0.85 | $23.65 |
| 04-13 10:47 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $7.42 |
| 04-03 11:15 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5078714347 | $11.93 |