geonb
0x75580eebf85086a361ede2ce48178171a4a6970a
- Realised P&L
- $-15.87
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $948.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.72at 0.815Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
- +$1.50at 0.800Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?
- +$1.41at 0.810Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?
- +$1.29at 0.890Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?
- +$1.23at 0.830Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 22:17 | Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999983 | $20.23 |
| 10-03 05:17 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 05:17 | Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999648 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 05:17 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999648 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 04:17 | Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999948 | $20.22 |
| 10-03 00:17 | Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999842 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 00:17 | Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 00:17 | Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 00:17 | Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 00:17 | Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999648 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 19:17 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.8299999975 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 17:17 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | BUY | 0.8499999957 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 07:17 | Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999648 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 19:17 | Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31? | BUY | 0.8499999957 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 08:17 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |