PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x754A4ee36A114F9d7a6903267967483F2795B73B-1781686939457

0x754a4ee36a114f9d7a6903267967483f2795b73b

Realised P&L
$26.99
Volume
$27.3k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$910.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.6530.635$381.00−$11.00
Trump renames AI by December 31? · Yes0.7500.620$150.23−$31.60
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3650.350$140.00−$6.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6020.605$121.00+$0.50
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · No0.3000.305$61.00+$1.00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3100.305$57.18−$0.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 12:29Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?SELL0.744$0.13
09-28 12:13Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?SELL0.1319935044$62.18
09-26 16:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.98$100.00
09-26 16:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.98$100.00
09-26 16:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.9685887657$100.00
09-25 21:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSELL0.5219920149$98.06
09-25 21:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETBUY0.5323228398$100.00
09-25 21:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.8799999996$100.00
09-25 21:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.8799999996$100.00
09-25 21:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.8771929825$100.00
09-25 21:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.8599999997$100.00
09-25 21:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.8599999997$100.00
09-25 21:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETBUY0.0579595071$22.67
09-25 21:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETBUY0.0187983071$77.33
09-25 21:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETBUY0.7114216759$100.00