0x754A4ee36A114F9d7a6903267967483F2795B73B-1781686939457
0x754a4ee36a114f9d7a6903267967483f2795b73b
- Realised P&L
- $26.99
- Volume
- $27.3k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $910.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No | 0.653 | 0.635 | $381.00 | −$11.00 |
| Trump renames AI by December 31? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.620 | $150.23 | −$31.60 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.365 | 0.350 | $140.00 | −$6.00 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.602 | 0.605 | $121.00 | +$0.50 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.300 | 0.305 | $61.00 | +$1.00 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.310 | 0.305 | $57.18 | −$0.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.72at 0.127Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
- +$69.33at 0.879Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
- +$64.80at 0.613Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$23.37at 0.858Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$23.33at 0.570Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:29 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | SELL | 0.744 | $0.13 |
| 09-28 12:13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | SELL | 0.1319935044 | $62.18 |
| 09-26 16:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 16:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 16:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.9685887657 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 21:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | SELL | 0.5219920149 | $98.06 |
| 09-25 21:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5323228398 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 21:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 21:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 21:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8771929825 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 21:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 21:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 21:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.0579595071 | $22.67 |
| 09-25 21:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.0187983071 | $77.33 |
| 09-25 21:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7114216759 | $100.00 |