PolyBot

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Traders

0x7539d1e600d13cc091274376f7eb7ef54eca914d

0x7539d1e600d13cc091274376f7eb7ef54eca914d

Realised P&L
$-35.19
Volume
$6.8k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$2.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · No0.5050.532$1.05+$0.05
Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · Yes0.2500.240$0.96−$0.04
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · Yes0.3300.001$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 03:50Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.50499975$1.00
10-15 19:14Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?BUY0.25$1.00
10-15 11:02S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-15 03:01Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-12 06:51Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-12 06:51Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?BUY0.64$1.00
10-09 20:04Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-08 22:35Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.7399996448$1.00
10-07 14:08Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-07 06:05Will OpenRouter process less than 155T tokens the week of October 5?BUY0.4069999101$1.00
10-07 06:04Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7529999548$1.00
10-02 05:35Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-26 06:00Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.7699995842$1.00
09-25 21:56Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-23 01:09Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.3009999217$1.00