PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Afuckingbot

0x752e332d0b1e6ba9b38aaf3bd7dda8d05374b1b3

Realised P&L
$7.8k
Volume
$540.1k
Markets traded
167
Open portfolio
$7.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded167
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5080.577$6.5k+$769.27
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.1860.592$317.08+$217.08
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8000.835$313.13+$13.13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.2100.205$195.24−$4.76
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.4090.000$0.00−$122.70
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$300.00
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$100.00
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs · TEAM VISION0.5200.000$0.00−$300.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? · No0.4400.000$0.00−$200.00
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00−$50.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3060.000$0.00−$600.00
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 13:53Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.2105803428$45.83
09-26 13:39Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.36$374.99
09-26 13:13Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.28$2.80
09-26 13:12Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.1$100.00
09-23 01:05Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.2099999999$200.00
09-23 01:04NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8$300.00
09-23 01:03Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5791634574$1.1k
09-23 01:03Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.571065384$1.0k
09-23 01:02Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.9672079528$858.87
09-16 13:41Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5517759711$1.5k
09-16 13:25Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.4795664711$200.00
09-11 14:18Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$200.00
09-05 02:57Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?BUY0.1865471036$100.00
09-05 02:56Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2123347153$100.00
09-04 09:18Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5999999994$200.00