0x74df189e380e90146ac2ccdd7d34f84184b0511f
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $39.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No | 0.912 | 0.950 | $4.75 | +$0.19 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No | 0.950 | 0.945 | $4.72 | −$0.03 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.945 | $4.72 | −$0.03 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · No | 0.939 | 0.940 | $4.70 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.935 | $4.67 | −$0.03 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.905 | $4.53 | −$0.03 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.705 | $3.52 | −$0.07 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.705 | $3.52 | +$0.07 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.250 | 0.255 | $2.29 | +$0.04 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.290 | 0.285 | $2.28 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.95at 0.904Nashville SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5
- +$0.29at 0.943Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:25 | Nashville SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 11-01 21:25 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 11-01 21:21 | Nashville SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 11-01 19:50 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 11-01 19:10 | Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 11-01 19:10 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.939 | $4.69 |
| 11-01 18:56 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 11-01 17:55 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.32 |
| 11-01 17:26 | Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 11-01 17:15 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.25 |
| 11-01 17:11 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 11-01 17:09 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 11-01 16:53 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.912 | $4.56 |