0x74d66b73da1ea3206bbf7860a54b5973279502a1
0x74d66b73da1ea3206bbf7860a54b5973279502a1
- Realised P&L
- $74.43
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 194
- Open portfolio
- $623.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded194
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.64at 0.351Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$21.99at 0.344Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$14.79at 0.495Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
- +$8.16at 0.487Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
- +$7.32at 0.571Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:56 | Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.6599999038 | $2.88 |
| 11-01 21:12 | Will Trump say "Burger" in October? | BUY | 0.8959999474 | $1.09 |
| 11-01 02:08 | Will AP call US Senate control by November 3, 10:59 PM? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.09 |
| 10-31 01:57 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998687 | $1.13 |
| 10-31 01:57 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999802 | $5.35 |
| 10-31 01:57 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999417 | $1.09 |
| 10-31 01:57 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999417 | $1.09 |
| 10-31 01:57 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999417 | $1.09 |
| 10-31 01:56 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999973 | $1.99 |
| 10-31 01:53 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999417 | $1.09 |
| 10-31 01:53 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999417 | $1.09 |
| 10-31 01:51 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999417 | $1.09 |
| 10-31 01:48 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999417 | $1.09 |
| 10-31 01:43 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999417 | $1.09 |
| 10-31 01:43 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999417 | $1.09 |