0x74d66b73da1ea3206bbf7860a54b5973279502a1
- Realised P&L
- $30.02
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $74.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.15at 0.483Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
- +$8.52at 0.475Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
- +$5.93at 0.426Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
- +$2.28at 0.323U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$2.02at 0.540Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 19:34 | Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.7799998712 | $1.09 |
| 08-03 14:13 | Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9? | BUY | 0.625 | $1.09 |
| 08-03 14:10 | Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8989993047 | $1.09 |
| 08-03 14:09 | Will 53 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.09 |
| 07-31 00:53 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.00 |
| 07-31 00:53 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.00 |
| 07-31 00:53 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.00 |
| 07-31 00:53 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.00 |
| 07-31 00:52 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.00 |
| 07-31 00:52 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.00 |
| 07-31 00:52 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.00 |
| 07-31 00:52 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.00 |
| 07-31 00:52 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.00 |
| 07-31 00:52 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.00 |
| 07-31 00:52 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.00 |