PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

AAK.81

0x747b114f1e963bc61ef0438b3823496ca924a2d4

Realised P&L
$221.79
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
242
Open portfolio
$288.79

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded242
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.4310.575$48.87+$12.21
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.4990.675$48.60+$12.70
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.4160.730$36.48+$15.68
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · No0.2660.371$26.00+$7.41
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2190.278$19.01+$4.01
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · No0.3220.420$18.90+$4.39
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · No0.2180.203$14.03$0.99
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3800.365$9.86$0.40
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? · No0.2500.245$9.80$0.20
Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.2420.333$9.60+$2.60
Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? · Yes0.3900.450$8.14+$1.09
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? · No0.2100.145$6.96$3.12
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · No0.1000.145$5.80+$1.80
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? · Yes0.1800.961$5.78+$4.70
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? · Yes0.2090.180$5.40$0.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 19:02Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?BUY0.21$10.08
07-31 10:11Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?SELL0.18$1.80
07-31 10:08Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?SELL0.026$0.68
07-31 08:04Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.041$1.44
07-30 18:34Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?SELL0.418$12.54
07-30 18:33Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?SELL0.18$3.60
07-29 06:05Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.056$2.24
07-28 13:31Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.233$17.48
07-28 06:08Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.001$0.04
07-27 16:34Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?BUY0.121$1.20
07-27 15:22Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?BUY0.1142599672$6.28
07-27 15:20Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?BUY0.32243$19.35
07-27 15:18Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.2423282548$7.00
07-27 14:29Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?SELL0.13$6.50
07-27 14:29Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?BUY0.18$7.20