PolyBot

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Traders

AAK.81

0x747b114f1e963bc61ef0438b3823496ca924a2d4

Realised P&L
$205.45
Volume
$12.9k
Markets traded
263
Open portfolio
$174.14

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded263
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.2300.265$21.20+$2.80
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Yes0.1190.115$20.36$0.65
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? · Yes0.3330.339$20.31+$0.33
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? · Yes0.1300.733$19.78+$16.27
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · Yes0.3780.365$19.34$0.66
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2190.162$11.06$3.94
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · No0.8010.741$7.41$0.60
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes0.4500.580$6.38+$1.43
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3800.235$6.34$3.92
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1170.130$5.46+$0.55
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · No0.3220.545$5.45+$2.23
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2680.270$5.39+$0.03
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.1700.165$4.95$0.15
Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.1800.180$4.86+$0.00
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3100.295$4.72$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:24Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?BUY0.268$5.36
09-17 19:22Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?BUY0.801$8.01
09-17 15:35Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.51$4.59
09-17 15:33Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.333$19.98
09-16 16:47Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.052$4.99
09-16 15:43No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.117$4.91
09-16 10:07Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.45$4.95
09-15 18:42Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.31$4.96
09-15 05:12Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?SELL0.54$2.70
09-15 05:10Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.46$4.60
09-15 05:09Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.17$5.10
09-12 13:15Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.23$18.40
09-12 10:43Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?SELL0.54$16.20
09-08 08:46Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?BUY0.13$4.94
09-08 08:45Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?BUY0.15$4.95