AAK.81
0x747b114f1e963bc61ef0438b3823496ca924a2d4
- Realised P&L
- $205.45
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 263
- Open portfolio
- $174.14
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded263
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.26at 0.132Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$46.88at 0.504Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$46.64at 0.150Will Ryan Busse be the Democratic nominee for MT-01?
- +$46.35at 0.060Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$39.81at 0.365Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:24 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.268 | $5.36 |
| 09-17 19:22 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.801 | $8.01 |
| 09-17 15:35 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $4.59 |
| 09-17 15:33 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.333 | $19.98 |
| 09-16 16:47 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.052 | $4.99 |
| 09-16 15:43 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.117 | $4.91 |
| 09-16 10:07 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.95 |
| 09-15 18:42 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.96 |
| 09-15 05:12 | Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-15 05:10 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 09-15 05:09 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.10 |
| 09-12 13:15 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.23 | $18.40 |
| 09-12 10:43 | Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | SELL | 0.54 | $16.20 |
| 09-08 08:46 | Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence? | BUY | 0.13 | $4.94 |
| 09-08 08:45 | Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.95 |