AAK.81
0x747b114f1e963bc61ef0438b3823496ca924a2d4
- Realised P&L
- $221.79
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 242
- Open portfolio
- $288.79
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded242
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.52at 0.129Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$46.64at 0.150Will Ryan Busse be the Democratic nominee for MT-01?
- +$46.35at 0.060Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$40.20at 0.359Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
- +$35.90at 0.290Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:02 | Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | BUY | 0.21 | $10.08 |
| 07-31 10:11 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 07-31 10:08 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.68 |
| 07-31 08:04 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.041 | $1.44 |
| 07-30 18:34 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.418 | $12.54 |
| 07-30 18:33 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 07-29 06:05 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.056 | $2.24 |
| 07-28 13:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.233 | $17.48 |
| 07-28 06:08 | Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 07-27 16:34 | Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? | BUY | 0.121 | $1.20 |
| 07-27 15:22 | Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? | BUY | 0.1142599672 | $6.28 |
| 07-27 15:20 | Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | BUY | 0.32243 | $19.35 |
| 07-27 15:18 | Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.2423282548 | $7.00 |
| 07-27 14:29 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 07-27 14:29 | Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | BUY | 0.18 | $7.20 |