tomb2456
0x746e936f43ff75bf508cf8375b7a8e2515ef68ca
- Realised P&L
- $-7.3k
- Volume
- $727.0k
- Markets traded
- 293
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded293
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass vs. Sacramento State: O/U 46.5 · Over | 0.590 | 0.585 | $674.14 | −$5.74 |
| UMass vs. Sacramento State: O/U 50.5 · Over | 0.450 | 0.455 | $523.25 | +$5.75 |
| Troy vs. Utah State: O/U 48.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.540 | $5.63 | +$0.21 |
| Troy vs. Utah State: O/U 50.5 · Under | 0.580 | 0.585 | $4.18 | +$0.04 |
| UMass vs. Sacramento State: O/U 48.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.520 | $3.25 | +$0.00 |
| Fight to Go the Distance? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$82.95 |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds · Over | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.80 |
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5) · Los Angeles Sparks | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$841.83 |
| Spread: Utah State (-13.5) · Utah State | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.50 |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) · Colorado Rockies | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.6k |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| LAC vs. HOU: O/U 36.5 · Over | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury · Phoenix Mercury | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Team Spoon vs. Team Coop: O/U 279.5 · Over | 0.466 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.7kat 0.432Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
- +$3.9kat 0.340O/U 1.5 Rounds
- +$3.7kat 0.610Spread: Florida Atlantic (-7.5)
- +$3.6kat 0.453Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5
- +$3.3kat 0.492Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 01:01 | Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 179.5 | BUY | 0.5699009901 | $575.60 |
| 09-23 00:58 | Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $79.38 |
| 09-23 00:58 | Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5 | BUY | 0.5359432049 | $1.3k |
| 09-23 00:42 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.51 | $215.43 |
| 09-22 19:25 | UMass vs. Sacramento State: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $517.50 |
| 09-22 19:25 | UMass vs. Sacramento State: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $678.50 |
| 09-22 13:34 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) | BUY | 0.62 | $208.94 |
| 09-22 13:17 | Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $3.0k |
| 09-22 13:05 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $200.25 |
| 09-21 22:01 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $828.11 |
| 09-20 19:44 | Spread: Jets (-6.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $480.00 |
| 09-20 19:44 | Spread: Jets (-6.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $960.00 |
| 09-20 19:29 | Panthers vs. Falcons | SELL | 0.999 | $5.0k |
| 09-20 19:19 | Browns vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.33 | $247.50 |
| 09-20 19:19 | Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5) | BUY | 0.64 | $960.00 |