PolyBot

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Traders

Homelandy

0x743e49b6166314b444982ccbbd6f8eafb0fef405

Realised P&L
$-4.5k
Volume
$91.1k
Markets traded
2,222
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,222
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.7170.945$922.53+$222.53
Trump renames AI by December 31? · Yes0.7100.745$52.46+$2.46
Trump renames AI by September 30? · No0.6700.560$41.79−$8.21
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30? · No0.4880.495$30.39+$0.39
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres · No0.5900.590$30.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 30? · No0.5100.495$29.12−$0.88
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 30? · No0.4400.420$28.64−$1.36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0740.035$23.31−$26.69
Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song this week? · Yes0.6470.666$10.29+$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 30? · Yes0.1960.155$7.89−$2.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00−$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Down0.5200.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET · Down0.5300.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET · Up0.2950.000$0.00−$217.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 10:19Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 30?BUY0.4399999947$30.00
09-28 10:18Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?BUY0.4885749834$30.00
09-28 10:17Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 30?BUY0.5099999949$30.00
09-28 10:16Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 30?BUY0.196399344$10.00
09-28 10:13Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.5899999957$30.00
09-28 10:11Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song this week?BUY0.6469999808$10.00
09-28 09:35Trump renames AI by December 31?BUY0.709999992$50.00
09-28 09:35Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.6699999971$50.00
09-20 14:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.4899999984$3.00
09-20 13:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.4599999986$52.72
09-20 02:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.5099999985$20.28
09-20 01:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.4299999972$7.80
09-20 01:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETBUY0.4599999387$3.00
09-20 00:45Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETBUY0.5799999768$3.00
09-19 23:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.4399999883$3.00