PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x742a92be6c9c95219a4a91dfaeb6ac014026fa07

Realised P&L
$168.92
Volume
$33.6k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$144.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5780.445$103.98$30.98
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5810.400$23.76$10.77
USMCA extended in 2026? · Yes0.1630.100$14.42$9.04
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? · Yes0.2000.105$2.26$2.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 12:49Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4499999704$3.04
09-17 12:49Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4499999964$6.25
09-13 09:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7899999872$5.56
09-09 20:28Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5299999781$11.38
09-09 20:28Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5299999991$23.33
09-09 20:27Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.85$42.59
09-01 18:58Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5599999744$4.37
08-31 23:02Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?BUY0.925$4.22
08-31 23:01Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.559999987$8.64
08-31 23:01Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5599999962$17.68
08-26 14:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.63$11.14
08-25 20:04Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC end in a draw?SELL0.011$0.73
08-25 15:01Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 25?SELL0.0323853551$6.47
08-25 07:12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8399999912$42.09
08-25 07:10Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 25, 2026?BUY0.1506929539$14.28