0x742a92be6c9c95219a4a91dfaeb6ac014026fa07
- Realised P&L
- $259.94
- Volume
- $28.0k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $158.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.755 | $63.67 | +$0.42 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes | 0.137 | 0.115 | $44.36 | −$8.59 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.910 | $29.92 | +$0.33 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.115 | $17.11 | −$2.23 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.075 | $3.86 | −$0.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.75at 0.582Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$62.32at 0.020Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$45.26at 0.840Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
- +$20.09at 0.230Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$14.80at 0.670GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.93 | $42.86 |
| 08-02 18:39 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $70.71 |
| 08-02 10:26 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $19.34 |
| 08-02 10:26 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $63.25 |
| 08-02 10:25 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.12 |
| 08-02 10:24 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.8999999878 | $29.59 |
| 08-02 10:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.8599999987 | $39.64 |
| 08-02 10:23 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.1372777758 | $52.95 |
| 08-02 10:22 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $70.71 |
| 07-20 17:49 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.8399999997 | $237.59 |
| 07-15 08:55 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999999 | $138.89 |
| 07-11 23:13 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.178 | $48.06 |
| 07-11 21:17 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5174999994 | $19.09 |
| 07-11 10:47 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.146 | $39.42 |
| 07-11 10:46 | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.6 | $118.93 |