0x741b1f588E4f898F95E3460F42b23934ebD3A259-1780615805004
0x741b1f588e4f898f95e3460f42b23934ebd3a259
- Realised P&L
- $21.25
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $78.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.74at 0.154Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$84.91at 0.626Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$55.92at 0.467England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$29.62at 0.154Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
- +$28.40at 0.290Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 14:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 08-24 04:09 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | BUY | 0.42 | $33.64 |
| 08-22 13:57 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $48.00 |
| 08-22 08:19 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 08-15 01:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.75 | $133.88 |
| 08-04 15:59 | Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 08-01 13:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.41 | $102.50 |
| 08-01 13:56 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $100.16 |
| 07-31 09:13 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 07-28 13:10 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 07-26 02:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $47.00 |
| 07-25 16:32 | Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-26? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 07-25 16:30 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $19.60 |
| 07-18 08:27 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.402 | $10.05 |
| 07-17 14:55 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.409 | $10.22 |