2tan
0x73e1cdf62d359f9f6b43e35c389bf0c513d2cc3f
- Realised P&L
- $6.6k
- Volume
- $32.1k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $338.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar20.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.141 | $137.94 | +$17.94 |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.085 | $118.76 | −$8.87 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No | 0.120 | 0.105 | $42.56 | −$6.08 |
| Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No | 0.350 | 0.265 | $30.44 | −$9.84 |
| Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.011 | $8.67 | −$26.33 |
| Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 2-5%? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.013 | $0.59 | −$9.41 |
| Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$9.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.7kat 0.418Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$1.3kat 0.520Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$260.02at 0.147Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- +$26.97at 0.254Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$19.89at 0.367Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:45 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.39 |
| 11-01 21:50 | Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.1016107633 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 21:49 | Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.0784226686 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 21:48 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.0903858299 | $36.64 |
| 11-01 20:39 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.12 | $49.29 |
| 11-01 20:38 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.12 | $48.00 |
| 11-01 20:19 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.0978165939 | $22.40 |
| 11-01 20:16 | Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.1518850014 | $70.00 |
| 11-01 20:16 | Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.1219627026 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 20:15 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 15:08 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.371 | $0.37 |
| 10-25 23:29 | Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.941 | $36.97 |
| 10-25 23:29 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.9940070851 | $2.7k |
| 10-25 23:27 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.981 | $8.2k |
| 10-25 20:28 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.54553022 | $214.00 |