PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

2tan

0x73e1cdf62d359f9f6b43e35c389bf0c513d2cc3f

Realised P&L
$6.6k
Volume
$32.1k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$338.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar20.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration74.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.1230.141$137.94+$17.94
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes0.0910.085$118.76−$8.87
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No0.1200.105$42.56−$6.08
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.3500.265$30.44−$9.84
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.0420.011$8.67−$26.33
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 2-5%? · Yes0.2290.013$0.59−$9.41
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%? · Yes0.3300.001$0.02−$9.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:45Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?BUY0.09$3.39
11-01 21:50Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.1016107633$10.00
11-01 21:49Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.0784226686$20.00
11-01 21:48Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?SELL0.0903858299$36.64
11-01 20:39Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?BUY0.12$49.29
11-01 20:38Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?BUY0.12$48.00
11-01 20:19Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?BUY0.0978165939$22.40
11-01 20:16Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.1518850014$70.00
11-01 20:16Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.1219627026$20.00
11-01 20:15Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?BUY0.0899999999$100.00
10-27 15:08Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?SELL0.371$0.37
10-25 23:29Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?SELL0.941$36.97
10-25 23:29Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?SELL0.9940070851$2.7k
10-25 23:27Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?SELL0.981$8.2k
10-25 20:28Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.54553022$214.00