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Traders

chivoexpiatorio

0x73bb531d8cfabcdd61f9e7bc08e8d2554bc69473

Realised P&L
$9.1k
Volume
$790.2k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$6.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.1770.225$2.3k+$501.00
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1390.227$2.2k+$852.39
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? · No0.1400.225$949.44+$359.28
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? · No0.1980.285$568.29+$173.05
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? · Yes0.1950.045$28.75$95.55
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · Yes0.2700.105$10.29$16.18
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$10.00
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$10.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$425.50
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$100.00
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$16.67
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$21.80
Tim Walz in jail by March 31? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$2.56
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$164.76
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$18.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 18:17Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?BUY0.1945256651$124.30
09-23 18:09Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.9660077333$2.3k
09-22 21:53OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?BUY0.2100743663$491.16
09-22 21:50OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY0.2264645$226.46
09-22 21:48Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1850937572$714.57
09-21 20:43Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.3337840027$251.01
09-19 21:03OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY0.1697987928$168.78
09-19 21:02OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?BUY0.0482949982$88.46
09-19 20:57Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.185962963$75.32
09-19 20:56Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.324$243.65
09-19 20:54Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1708850575$74.34
09-19 20:24Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?SELL0.9413019$188.26
09-18 21:20Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?BUY0.57$114.00
09-18 21:13Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0961182$480.59
09-18 21:10Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1781055294$882.38