PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

andreacarter

0x73b7e28ee8d7c0e2a6a41a9627423bac1004f5e1

Realised P&L
$40.44
Volume
$11.0k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$56.89

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · No0.6380.331$23.00−$21.40
Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? · No0.6600.865$19.32+$4.58
Will Brigid Kosgei win the 2026 Women's Chicago Marathon? · No0.7200.625$14.57−$2.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 15:57Will Brigid Kosgei win the 2026 Women's Chicago Marathon?BUY0.7199999828$16.79
09-03 11:04Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?BUY0.6599999946$14.74
01-31 14:12Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?BUY0.9989999518$5.72
01-31 13:52Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?BUY0.9989999632$10.60
01-30 17:13Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.998$17.70
01-30 16:16Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.9969999998$12.87
01-30 12:33Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January?BUY0.999$22.00
01-30 12:00Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January?BUY0.998999976$33.17
12-30 12:55Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?BUY0.999$2.61
12-30 12:51Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.998$10.06
12-30 10:59Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?BUY0.998999947$15.18
12-30 00:14Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.999$25.87
12-29 23:34Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9969999767$24.64
12-29 18:49Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.9969999643$25.82
10-31 15:36Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$18.92