hinoryu
0x73aa36f77861943169ab0c071cad7c7dfa21c3b4
- Realised P&L
- $100.04
- Volume
- $33.6k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $556.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.754 | 0.967 | $106.37 | +$23.37 |
| Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.847 | 0.950 | $104.44 | +$11.25 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · No | 0.930 | 0.979 | $97.85 | +$4.85 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.955 | $95.50 | +$8.50 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.761 | 0.725 | $63.80 | −$3.14 |
| Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.865 | 0.685 | $54.80 | −$14.40 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.870 | 0.958 | $33.50 | +$3.06 |
| Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.60 |
| Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.80 |
| Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.60 |
| Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.00at 0.500Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?
- +$127.50at 0.500Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$96.59at 0.500Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$57.05at 0.448MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
- +$53.93at 0.446Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 13:07 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $14.94 |
| 05-16 20:11 | Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 05-13 15:25 | Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.94 | $28.20 |
| 05-13 15:16 | Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 05-12 06:45 | Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 05-11 21:24 | Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.09 |
| 05-11 21:23 | Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 05-11 16:36 | Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 05-08 18:29 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.77 | $35.26 |
| 05-08 18:17 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.77 | $23.99 |
| 05-08 09:31 | Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $30.36 |
| 05-07 22:52 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.58 | $34.80 |
| 05-07 22:50 | Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m? | SELL | 0.4437441176 | $377.18 |
| 05-07 17:21 | Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m? | BUY | 0.51 | $25.50 |
| 05-07 17:03 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.365 | $2.96 |