PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

hinoryu

0x73aa36f77861943169ab0c071cad7c7dfa21c3b4

Realised P&L
$100.04
Volume
$33.6k
Markets traded
122
Open portfolio
$556.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded122
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? · No0.7540.967$106.37+$23.37
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? · No0.8470.950$104.44+$11.25
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · No0.9300.979$97.85+$4.85
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.955$95.50+$8.50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7610.725$63.80$3.14
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.8650.685$54.80$14.40
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8700.958$33.50+$3.06
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$10.60
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$10.80
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.9300.000$0.00$18.60
Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 13:07NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.83$14.94
05-16 20:11Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.89$8.90
05-13 15:25Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.94$28.20
05-13 15:16Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$8.70
05-12 06:45Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8$8.00
05-11 21:24Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?SELL0.001$0.09
05-11 21:23Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?SELL0.001$0.30
05-11 16:36Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?SELL0.02$0.10
05-08 18:29Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?SELL0.77$35.26
05-08 18:17Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?SELL0.77$23.99
05-08 09:31Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?BUY0.92$30.36
05-07 22:52Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.58$34.80
05-07 22:50Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?SELL0.4437441176$377.18
05-07 17:21Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?BUY0.51$25.50
05-07 17:03MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY0.365$2.96