PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x73a42477b51a2678a985153a0663ba512b726e8c

Realised P&L
$49.18
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$24.97

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration67.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9590.972$22.72+$0.31
Will Jean-Michel Basquiat be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? · Yes0.0230.025$1.08+$0.08
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0100.005$0.50$0.50
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0200.007$0.38$0.63
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0120.004$0.29$0.71
Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31? · Yes0.1910.000$0.00$83.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 01:31Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?SELL0.08$9.24
08-06 01:30Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?BUY0.0899999925$10.39
07-29 23:12US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.0041621622$1.16
07-24 21:38Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.7199999926$77.52
07-24 13:22Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31?BUY0.190974874$83.30
07-24 13:21US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.022695883$5.00
07-23 17:09Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.016$1.00
07-23 17:08Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?BUY0.02$1.00
07-23 16:56US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0174809091$1.00
07-23 16:55Will Jean-Michel Basquiat be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?BUY0.0231147067$1.00
07-23 16:24Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.0189999817$1.00
07-23 16:22Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.023999977$1.00
07-23 16:22Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.011999988$1.00
07-23 16:21Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?BUY0.01$1.00
07-23 13:03Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?BUY0.01$5.00