laflamablanca
0x73a0438c54b62a3b2d4c6133591ad06476a5bed9
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $875.1k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $24.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.5kat 0.681Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$7.0kat 0.745Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$3.3kat 0.528Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$1.2kat 0.039Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$1.0kat 0.973Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 01:32 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.993 | $124.85 |
| 10-28 16:29 | Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1472463333 | $44.17 |
| 10-28 16:26 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.49 | $245.00 |
| 10-27 23:33 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.57 | $1.4k |
| 10-27 22:51 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.86 | $135.02 |
| 10-27 21:05 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.9405241141 | $4.0k |
| 10-27 20:26 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.912 | $3.6k |
| 10-27 20:08 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.69 | $244.03 |
| 10-27 20:03 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.412414665 | $75.03 |
| 10-27 20:02 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.17 | $530.43 |
| 10-27 19:55 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.77 | $385.00 |
| 10-27 18:47 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.17 |
| 10-27 18:38 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.76 | $760.00 |
| 10-27 16:48 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.73 | $263.53 |
| 10-27 15:50 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.86 | $278.29 |