xobie3
0x738f766db3b93dac832fd03d5f7d53aff07588c4
- Realised P&L
- $-758.08
- Volume
- $118.9k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $23.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.68at 0.201UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$12.10at 0.476Will Trump say "Veteran" during healthcare event?
- +$11.13at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
- +$9.86at 0.509Will Trump say "Trump" 3+ times during healthcare event?
- +$9.52at 0.373Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 01:04 | Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 01:01 | Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.3223033582 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 21:24 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0129999982 | $6.99 |
| 07-04 21:24 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0129999982 | $6.99 |
| 07-04 21:21 | Will Trump say "Mount Rushmore" during Tribute to America Rally? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 21:17 | Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0519999513 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 21:14 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0029999985 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 19:38 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 17:54 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.32 |
| 06-25 17:54 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | SELL | 0.0030012376 | $12.34 |
| 06-25 17:54 | Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? | SELL | 0.0727201656 | $18.98 |
| 06-25 17:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.75 |
| 06-25 17:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.58 |
| 05-14 11:18 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.0266571203 | $37.88 |
| 05-14 11:17 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | SELL | 0.032 | $41.04 |