PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

exboyfriendjustsentit

0x73749db0d73fdf2bc74e56edcf30dd98180a38ff

Realised P&L
$-4.1k
Volume
$660.7k
Markets traded
2,435
Open portfolio
$886.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,435
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · Yes0.8190.955$223.46+$31.79
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 1? · Yes0.5290.999$111.11+$52.19
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · No0.9290.994$99.36+$6.45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2? · No0.5670.565$62.94−$0.24
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? · No0.9470.898$44.90−$2.45
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · Yes0.8850.997$39.88+$4.48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 2? · Yes0.4400.460$36.80+$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on November 2? · Yes0.3600.365$36.24+$0.47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2? · Yes0.4300.485$34.44+$3.90
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 2? · No0.5000.520$26.00+$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 2? · No0.8400.925$23.13+$2.13
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · Yes0.7000.750$22.50+$1.50
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · Yes0.8800.745$20.86−$3.78
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · No0.8790.918$18.36+$0.79
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8510.825$14.85−$0.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:14Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on November 2?BUY0.37$29.60
11-01 19:05Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on November 2?BUY0.32$6.17
11-01 19:05Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 2?BUY0.84$21.00
11-01 18:57Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 2?BUY0.64$9.60
11-01 18:56Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 2?BUY0.78$14.82
11-01 18:54Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 2?BUY0.44$35.20
11-01 18:54Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 2?BUY0.5$25.00
11-01 18:54Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2?BUY0.4$10.00
11-01 18:50Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2?BUY0.57$45.60
11-01 18:50Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2?BUY0.56$17.58
11-01 18:50Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.43$30.53
11-01 18:20Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 1?BUY0.668$16.70
11-01 17:33Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?BUY0.947$47.35
11-01 16:10Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?SELL0.82$246.07
11-01 14:37Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?SELL0.031$0.44