PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ex-webanker

0x73749db0d73fdf2bc74e56edcf30dd98180a38ff

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$544.7k
Markets traded
1,863
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,863
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026? · No0.9020.905$76.13+$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17? · No0.7341.000$76.10+$20.24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.5500.555$55.50+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 16? · No0.8301.000$52.59+$8.94
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 17? · No0.7500.925$48.92+$9.26
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes0.5370.610$46.76+$5.60
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 17? · No0.6690.760$46.36+$5.54
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17? · No0.8700.999$43.96+$5.68
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 17? · No0.9200.905$43.53$0.72
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 17? · No0.9000.955$42.98+$2.48
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18? · No0.6200.605$42.35$1.05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 17? · No0.8501.000$39.98+$5.98
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 18? · No0.8500.850$38.53+$0.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8330.834$33.36+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 17? · No0.8720.940$32.52+$2.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:34Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.4707685607$91.88
09-17 06:32Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 17?SELL0.999$99.90
09-17 06:31Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?SELL0.930489206$100.43
09-17 04:13Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.49$27.76
09-17 04:06Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 16?SELL0.999$65.93
09-17 03:50Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 18?BUY0.85$17.13
09-17 03:50Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 18?BUY0.85$21.40
09-17 03:50Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18?SELL0.54$10.80
09-17 03:49Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18?BUY0.55$44.55
09-17 03:48Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17?BUY0.59$8.85
09-17 03:48Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 17?BUY0.79$3.95
09-17 03:11Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 18?BUY0.55$29.27
09-17 03:07Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.75$3.75
09-17 03:07Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.75$18.75
09-17 03:07Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.75$13.61