0x735dc7f53f839fef67fdaf7832c1b329a99e0555
- Realised P&L
- $0.14
- Volume
- $65.10
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $16.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.595 | $6.17 | +$3.68 |
| Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.595 | $2.85 | +$0.36 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.630 | $2.57 | +$0.08 |
| Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.560 | 0.555 | $2.47 | −$0.02 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.625 | $2.16 | −$0.33 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No | 0.250 | 0.002 | $0.01 | −$2.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.499Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
- +$-0.04at 0.510Another pandemic before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 11:37 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999884 | $2.49 |
| 08-03 03:36 | Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.559999973 | $2.49 |
| 08-02 19:34 | Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5199999582 | $2.49 |
| 08-02 10:16 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999363 | $2.49 |
| 08-02 01:47 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.49 |
| 08-01 17:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.49 |
| 08-01 04:29 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.04 |
| 07-31 20:28 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999264 | $2.08 |
| 07-31 12:25 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-30 23:56 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-30 12:17 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4989999875 | $2.48 |
| 07-30 03:07 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.49 |
| 07-29 17:34 | Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.08 |