0x735dc7f53f839fef67fdaf7832c1b329a99e0555
0x735dc7f53f839fef67fdaf7832c1b329a99e0555
- Realised P&L
- $-8.34
- Volume
- $310.27
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $8.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.945 | $3.68 | +$1.19 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.425 | $1.63 | +$0.63 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.490 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.295 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.190 | $0.73 | −$0.27 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.205 | $0.35 | −$0.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.75at 0.227Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$7.88at 0.240US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$5.29at 0.320US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$4.06at 0.380US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$2.24at 0.532Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 20:40 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:11 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:57 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:04 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999117 | $1.52 |
| 09-20 22:38 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999719 | $2.49 |
| 09-19 07:33 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999851 | $2.49 |
| 09-15 23:45 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.7299999795 | $2.49 |
| 09-11 23:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.49 |
| 09-09 17:28 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7399999703 | $2.49 |
| 09-09 09:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.49 |
| 09-08 16:13 | Will Macy's say "Amazon" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5499999669 | $2.49 |
| 09-08 07:12 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.49 |
| 09-07 22:19 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999884 | $2.49 |