Bugoz
0x73283f2729b8c3d7279a8d17a0065b797ea0dbff
- Realised P&L
- $5.0k
- Volume
- $628.7k
- Markets traded
- 9,127
- Open portfolio
- $311.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,127
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$166.10at 0.194Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 26?
- +$164.05at 0.134Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 26?
- +$98.95at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 29?
- +$96.32at 0.132Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 2?
- +$69.04at 0.043Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 09-18 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.299999996 | $7.52 |
| 09-18 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.19 |
| 09-18 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 09-18 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.57 |
| 09-18 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.1199999994 | $7.88 |
| 09-18 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.00 |
| 09-18 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5699999525 | $2.88 |
| 09-18 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.37 | $0.76 |
| 09-18 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.66 |
| 09-18 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.25 |
| 09-18 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |