Bugoz
0x73283f2729b8c3d7279a8d17a0065b797ea0dbff
- Realised P&L
- $3.2k
- Volume
- $421.9k
- Markets traded
- 5,367
- Open portfolio
- $157.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,367
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.00at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 29?
- +$96.93at 0.126Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 2?
- +$69.19at 0.042Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 4?
- +$56.00at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 3?
- +$54.75at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 01:37 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.00 |
| 08-04 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.03 | $4.62 |
| 08-04 01:26 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.69 |
| 08-04 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2699999811 | $8.00 |
| 08-04 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2399999794 | $7.00 |
| 08-03 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1199999856 | $7.00 |
| 08-03 22:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 21:47 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 21:40 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.062125 | $4.97 |
| 08-03 20:37 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.79 |
| 08-03 20:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |