0x728642fd49a7f4b55123c1c933871e7455447fec
0x728642fd49a7f4b55123c1c933871e7455447fec
- Realised P&L
- $-14.56
- Volume
- $141.67
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $1.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.235 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.455 | $0.68 | −$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.65at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$3.20at 0.392Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$1.53at 0.572Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
- +$1.24at 0.622Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?
- +$1.04at 0.661Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 09:27 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 01:21 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 00:58 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 15:33 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 06:52 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 07:42 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 04:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 14:23 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 16:45 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 07:17 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599998024 | $2.00 |
| 08-21 21:39 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August? | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 21:08 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 13:06 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599998024 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 17:03 | Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 18:57 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |