fuqei
0x72853e4cb7961b82df132760a00dc9f6f6d7c116
- Realised P&L
- $-284.67
- Volume
- $30.4k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $29.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.156 | $7.80 | −$10.70 |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.002 | $7.50 | −$27.50 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.030 | $6.10 | +$0.50 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.045 | $6.00 | −$14.00 |
| Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.028 | $1.40 | −$9.10 |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.015 | $0.77 | −$13.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$175.00at 0.300Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
- +$148.00at 0.630US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$120.72at 0.803Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$78.85at 0.070Oilers vs. Panthers
- +$77.00at 0.230Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-22 13:36 | Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 02-19 17:40 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 02-19 17:39 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 02-19 17:36 | Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 02-19 17:34 | Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 02-19 17:33 | Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 02-19 17:32 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.028 | $5.60 |
| 01-30 07:33 | Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $10.50 |
| 01-30 07:22 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.63 | $252.00 |
| 01-06 18:43 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |
| 01-06 18:43 | Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31? | BUY | 0.328999992 | $20.00 |
| 01-06 18:22 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 11-03 19:26 | Trump out as President in 2025? | BUY | 0.035 | $9.80 |
| 11-02 01:57 | Dodgers vs. Blue Jays | BUY | 0.77 | $38.50 |
| 10-29 01:26 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.00 |