0x724f8ad785e8c418ff8093bd73457fde1ac055f9
0x724f8ad785e8c418ff8093bd73457fde1ac055f9
- Realised P&L
- $18.70
- Volume
- $519.96
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $3.16
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 1.000 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? · Up | 0.320 | 0.310 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 17? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.515 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$6.27at 0.247WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$5.14at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.76at 0.258Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 03:56 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 19:56 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 17? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 22:59 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 14:58 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:47 | Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 17:30 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:25 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:17 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:17 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 05:48 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 04:25 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 06:34 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 22:33 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 09:46 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 08:07 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |