0xC3DR1C4bE2A9f85c7D93e94b1Fa620C7359E819A
0x724c2de133fcb2f7f19d03ae6280a55ae15560ba
- Realised P&L
- $-453.17
- Volume
- $47.5k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $107.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.214 | $53.04 | +$5.18 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.245 | 0.200 | $40.38 | −$9.16 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.025 | $9.80 | −$3.80 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.004 | $2.81 | −$74.64 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.029 | $1.26 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.24at 0.008Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
- +$78.63at 0.254Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
- +$73.92at 0.211Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
- +$23.90at 0.223Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
- +$19.43at 0.052Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 09:26 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.2453960077 | $49.54 |
| 10-12 02:06 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1069121586 | $10.14 |
| 10-12 02:01 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.0084116602 | $13.68 |
| 10-12 01:43 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.3647367578 | $34.15 |
| 10-12 01:42 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1446309963 | $39.19 |
| 10-12 01:42 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1435639376 | $13.17 |
| 10-12 00:34 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.37 |
| 10-12 00:34 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.0175307567 | $17.01 |
| 10-11 22:58 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0179631723 | $29.21 |
| 10-11 22:52 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.0023104632 | $3.92 |
| 10-09 17:55 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0535548955 | $31.74 |
| 10-09 17:54 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0345701774 | $34.89 |
| 10-09 17:54 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.066143624 | $64.19 |
| 10-09 17:54 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0963321061 | $77.45 |
| 10-09 17:44 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0344317787 | $23.60 |