bbom
0x723718a21bd18a6e559a49dd8af88251bbdb9a27
- Realised P&L
- $-62.06
- Volume
- $136.3k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.018 | $832.50 | +$354.29 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.035 | $591.16 | +$181.00 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.010 | $300.00 | +$25.08 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.007 | $75.00 | −$14.99 |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.007 | $75.00 | +$15.01 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.004 | $45.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $25.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? · No | 0.210 | 0.045 | $0.45 | −$1.65 |
| Litecoin ETF approved in 2025? · No | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| US announces withdrawal from WTO in 2025? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.16at 0.710Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$20.29at 0.961Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$19.17at 0.839OpenAI acquired in 2025?
- +$9.89at 0.910Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$7.53at 0.930OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 23:14 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.004 | $40.00 |
| 10-04 23:08 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $39.00 |
| 10-04 23:07 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.006 | $60.00 |
| 10-04 23:06 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.007 | $70.00 |
| 10-04 23:06 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $90.00 |
| 10-03 03:54 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.37 |
| 08-24 05:13 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0262395791 | $38.65 |
| 08-24 05:09 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.025 | $3.76 |
| 08-24 05:08 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.012 | $120.00 |
| 08-23 06:02 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.011 | $110.00 |
| 01-09 02:28 | Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship? | BUY | 0.451 | $2.25 |
| 12-27 04:17 | Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 07-14 05:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.92 | $259.15 |
| 07-14 05:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.48 | $123.08 |
| 04-13 17:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.709999999 | $200.00 |