0x720a61C7ef56E4eA49634360bED33B3d65D540F1-1764059442171
0x720a61c7ef56e4ea49634360bed33b3d65d540f1
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $126.3k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $10.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.410Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$1.1kat 0.728Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.1kat 0.756Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$597.29at 0.916Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$582.00at 0.320Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:36 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $2.0k |
| 11-01 19:20 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $1.1k |
| 11-01 19:17 | Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.43 | $16.77 |
| 11-01 19:14 | Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.41 | $61.50 |
| 11-01 19:02 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $730.00 |
| 11-01 19:01 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $828.00 |
| 10-30 21:46 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.56 | $168.00 |
| 10-29 13:34 | Blue wave in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 10-29 11:51 | Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | BUY | 0.58 | $174.00 |
| 10-29 08:30 | Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | BUY | 0.53 | $18.02 |
| 10-27 21:51 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.63 | $630.00 |
| 10-27 21:50 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.65 | $650.00 |
| 10-27 21:04 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 10-27 20:54 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.8 | $120.00 |
| 10-27 20:17 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.19 | $57.00 |