0x71f815a8056cbC91C5ef8f95F3B8403B9c0d4789-1774041731690
0x71f815a8056cbc91c5ef8f95f3b8403b9c0d4789
- Realised P&L
- $452.23
- Volume
- $32.4k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $728.92
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September? · No | 0.800 | 0.785 | $294.47 | −$5.53 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.195 | $243.75 | −$6.25 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.125 | $190.70 | −$9.30 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.337 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.406 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? · No | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$470.42at 0.517Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5
- +$348.12at 0.227Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$156.51at 0.539Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
- +$132.31at 0.605Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$118.53at 0.596AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:04 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2 | $250.00 |
| 09-10 19:29 | FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 15:00 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1310986011 | $200.00 |
| 09-01 14:59 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September? | BUY | 0.7997286254 | $300.00 |
| 08-31 14:58 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.2219999985 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 11:52 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August? | BUY | 0.6894775382 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 18:02 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-15 House seat? | SELL | 0.0241879619 | $5.66 |
| 08-01 17:06 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4063590198 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 14:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 05:27 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | SELL | 0.61 | $107.01 |
| 07-27 05:30 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |
| 07-13 22:35 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July? | BUY | 0.73 | $200.00 |
| 07-13 19:38 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in July? | SELL | 0.94 | $218.60 |
| 07-12 19:00 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.3369672842 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 23:17 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5974999996 | $200.00 |