0x719d9a6eac73bb5934003c8c9bb69bd74c3acf0f
- Realised P&L
- $210.62
- Volume
- $42.1k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $423.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.51at 0.723SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
- +$20.31at 0.006Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?
- +$12.70at 0.074Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
- +$12.39at 0.600US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$8.67at 0.093Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-11 03:09 | Stripe IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.1589701963 | $52.49 |
| 02-11 02:44 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.264 | $17.70 |
| 02-11 02:21 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.4499999978 | $51.06 |
| 02-11 02:20 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | SELL | 0.4393583642 | $49.85 |
| 02-11 02:20 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.4499999978 | $51.06 |
| 02-11 02:20 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.2799999895 | $15.00 |
| 02-11 02:20 | SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $7.28 |
| 02-11 02:20 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.4958622057 | $26.52 |
| 02-11 02:20 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.2799999876 | $15.30 |
| 02-11 02:03 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.2799999876 | $15.30 |
| 02-09 22:45 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999855 | $5.20 |
| 02-09 22:45 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.4499999908 | $24.44 |
| 02-09 22:44 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999855 | $5.20 |
| 02-09 22:44 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.4499999908 | $24.44 |
| 02-09 18:30 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.110293573 | $4.99 |