0x718E0D9967bbdb5EEB065f3C20fAddA2F84ab076-1774811880802
0x718e0d9967bbdb5eeb065f3c20fadda2f84ab076
- Realised P&L
- $7.76
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $102.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.39at 0.588Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$5.83at 0.710Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$0.62at 0.942Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
- +$-0.52at 0.670US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$-0.52at 0.760Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 19:25 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | BUY | 0.0302356429 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 19:24 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | BUY | 0.0287128712 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 19:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 19:17 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 19:13 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.4840586353 | $14.00 |
| 08-10 14:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.8399999664 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 14:02 | Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 08-10 14:00 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.769999995 | $14.00 |
| 08-10 13:59 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 08-10 13:58 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999154 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 13:56 | Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? | SELL | 0.0146040516 | $0.16 |
| 08-10 13:56 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.011 | $11.00 |
| 07-14 11:08 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0119999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 19:22 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0109999978 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 19:58 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |