bartwerez
0x7178d7bded769ab682ad2b8facc328da6be149f3
- Realised P&L
- $-5.69
- Volume
- $188.53
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $2.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No | 0.519 | 0.500 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.160 | $0.55 | −$0.45 |
| Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.185 | $0.49 | −$0.51 |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.366 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.98 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.16at 0.862Kansas State Wildcats vs. BYU Cougars
- +$0.14at 0.862NJIT Highlanders vs. Vermont Catamounts
- +$0.11at 0.899Pistons vs. Nets
- +$0.05at 0.390Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.03at 0.370Iran leadership change by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 20:11 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.98 |
| 03-16 23:32 | Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 23:32 | Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 23:06 | Will Backpack launch a token on March 23? | SELL | 0.036 | $0.90 |
| 03-16 22:34 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.03 |
| 03-13 01:45 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 01:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.05 |
| 03-12 16:47 | Will Backpack launch a token on March 23? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 14:19 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5190006321 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 13:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.460993607 | $0.98 |
| 03-11 12:58 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4690088052 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 12:54 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3659998265 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 11:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 11:15 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 00:58 | NJIT Highlanders vs. Vermont Catamounts | SELL | 0.986 | $1.14 |