PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bartwerez

0x7178d7bded769ab682ad2b8facc328da6be149f3

Realised P&L
$-5.69
Volume
$188.53
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$2.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.5190.500$0.96−$0.04
Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.160$0.55−$0.45
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.185$0.49−$0.51
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3660.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.98
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 20:11Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.18$1.98
03-16 23:32Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
03-16 23:32Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
03-16 23:06Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?SELL0.036$0.90
03-16 22:34Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.38$1.03
03-13 01:45Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
03-13 01:23Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.41$1.05
03-12 16:47Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?BUY0.04$1.00
03-11 14:19Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5190006321$1.00
03-11 13:12Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.460993607$0.98
03-11 12:58Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4690088052$1.00
03-11 12:54Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3659998265$1.00
03-11 11:23Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
03-11 11:15Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0109999892$1.00
03-11 00:58NJIT Highlanders vs. Vermont CatamountsSELL0.986$1.14