0x71729e75e5295149621cb20eC995853B8bAa102a-1774323568989
0x71729e75e5295149621cb20ec995853b8baa102a
- Realised P&L
- $-736.10
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $206.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$206.78at 0.408Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$48.30at 0.300Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
- +$48.00at 0.760US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$36.50at 0.445S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?
- +$30.91at 0.660US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:00 | Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $40.80 |
| 09-13 07:41 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.1403253017 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 11:57 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22? | BUY | 0.9729999979 | $12.00 |
| 08-20 11:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 11:54 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7648 | $20.00 |
| 08-20 11:52 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0179999965 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 11:52 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 19:40 | England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.2599999889 | $13.55 |
| 07-15 19:05 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1909999943 | $25.00 |
| 07-15 19:03 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3624999995 | $200.00 |
| 07-15 11:01 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.6599999919 | $60.00 |
| 07-14 20:23 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1049999909 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 20:22 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 20:22 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 07-06 14:12 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $32.00 |