PolyBot

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Traders

0x71729e75e5295149621cb20eC995853B8bAa102a-1774323568989

0x71729e75e5295149621cb20ec995853b8baa102a

Realised P&L
$-736.10
Volume
$11.5k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$206.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.1690.086$76.76−$73.24
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December? · No0.8000.675$67.50−$12.50
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.830$39.84−$0.96
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2000.175$17.50−$2.50
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0400.047$2.35+$0.35
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.1700.021$2.05−$14.95
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0180.002$0.42−$4.58
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7650.000$0.00−$20.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$42.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$15.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.4270.000$0.00−$189.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1910.000$0.00−$25.00
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00−$10.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$5.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No0.3300.000$0.00−$36.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:00Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?BUY0.85$40.80
09-13 07:41Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.1403253017$100.00
08-20 11:57US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?BUY0.9729999979$12.00
08-20 11:55Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
08-20 11:54Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7648$20.00
08-20 11:52Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0179999965$5.00
08-20 11:52Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.04$2.00
07-15 19:40England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.2599999889$13.55
07-15 19:05Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1909999943$25.00
07-15 19:03Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3624999995$200.00
07-15 11:01US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.6599999919$60.00
07-14 20:23Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.1049999909$10.00
07-14 20:22Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.025$5.00
07-14 20:22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2$20.00
07-06 14:12US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?BUY0.64$32.00