0x7164c6740057C4a7e7212E26c64cA0ab23f17Ff7-1767927261947
0x7164c6740057c4a7e7212e26c64ca0ab23f17ff7
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $281.3k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.045 | $714.73 | −$1.1k |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.212 | $120.80 | −$32.12 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.065 | $83.44 | −$216.56 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.145 | $82.08 | −$217.92 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.326 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$668.00 |
| Spread: England (-1.5) · England | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$822.71 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? · Yes | 0.203 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$548.15 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.97 |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) · Legacy | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$443.00 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$650.00 |
| Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-12? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$540.00 |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$122.00 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? · Over | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$653.42 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? · Over | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.019Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?
- +$2.1kat 0.353Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.189Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.0kat 0.290Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.351France vs. England: Team to Win
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 09:50 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4899999991 | $200.00 |
| 08-16 04:17 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4180903016 | $248.42 |
| 08-15 10:09 | Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4072299811 | $108.79 |
| 08-15 10:06 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage | BUY | 0.3855850501 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 10:05 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage | BUY | 0.3854897679 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 10:05 | Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4429731156 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 09:19 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.08 | $95.73 |
| 08-15 08:34 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.2299999984 | $80.00 |
| 08-15 08:34 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 08:34 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 08:33 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3898050959 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 03:22 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.406268134 | $50.00 |
| 08-15 03:21 | Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) | BUY | 0.4699999985 | $100.00 |
| 08-14 14:51 | Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $20.00 |
| 08-14 14:50 | Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |