0x7130Ec6Ea62FC815bF6D2f5bc907abbb03EC70e4-1767477355682
0x7130ec6ea62fc815bf6d2f5bc907abbb03ec70e4
- Realised P&L
- $-21.74
- Volume
- $29.3k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $211.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$772.59at 0.388Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$365.77at 0.279Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$138.33at 0.178Khamenei public appearance by Friday?
- +$15.35at 0.370US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.21at 0.113Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 01:08 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.2384414641 | $100.00 |
| 03-01 18:15 | Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.205757485 | $100.00 |
| 03-01 18:15 | Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.165423717 | $100.00 |
| 03-01 18:15 | Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.1561950146 | $100.00 |
| 03-01 18:09 | Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1298931834 | $100.00 |
| 03-01 18:04 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999993 | $200.00 |
| 03-01 00:33 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1736049707 | $150.00 |
| 03-01 00:32 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1161869771 | $150.00 |
| 03-01 00:32 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $100.00 |
| 03-01 00:30 | Will the US strike Iran next? | BUY | 0.0515895905 | $200.00 |
| 03-01 00:29 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.5600713901 | $500.00 |
| 03-01 00:17 | Khamenei seen in public by March 14? | BUY | 0.0885528378 | $60.00 |
| 03-01 00:16 | Khamenei seen in public by March 14? | BUY | 0.0880887359 | $58.00 |
| 02-28 19:52 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.958 | $515.76 |
| 02-28 19:52 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.9547041582 | $1.3k |