PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7130Ec6Ea62FC815bF6D2f5bc907abbb03EC70e4-1767477355682

0x7130ec6ea62fc815bf6d2f5bc907abbb03ec70e4

Realised P&L
$-21.74
Volume
$29.3k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$211.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1720.041$82.64−$267.36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.5600.045$40.17−$459.83
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.1720.041$35.83−$114.17
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1170.019$33.66−$168.34
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? · Yes0.0800.015$10.94−$47.42
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.3300.055$8.33−$41.67
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00−$144.00
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$100.00
Epstein client list released by June 30? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · Yes0.1650.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · Yes0.2060.000$0.00−$100.00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-08 01:089.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.2384414641$100.00
03-01 18:15Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY0.205757485$100.00
03-01 18:15Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY0.165423717$100.00
03-01 18:15Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY0.1561950146$100.00
03-01 18:09Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.1298931834$100.00
03-01 18:04China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.1699999993$200.00
03-01 00:33China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.1736049707$150.00
03-01 00:32Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.1161869771$150.00
03-01 00:32Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.02$100.00
03-01 00:30Will the US strike Iran next?BUY0.0515895905$200.00
03-01 00:29Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.5600713901$500.00
03-01 00:17Khamenei seen in public by March 14?BUY0.0885528378$60.00
03-01 00:16Khamenei seen in public by March 14?BUY0.0880887359$58.00
02-28 19:52Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.958$515.76
02-28 19:52Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL0.9547041582$1.3k