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Traders

kartofelman

0x712178a31e3658f3d5394d825ef73f359a150abc

Realised P&L
$-820.77
Volume
$27.5k
Markets traded
680
Open portfolio
$99.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded680
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will London have between 45-60mm of precipitation in October? · No0.8000.730$14.60−$1.40
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 10%-15%? · No0.8600.685$13.70−$3.50
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? · No0.6300.625$12.01−$0.10
Will Bournemouth reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal? · Yes0.6300.575$11.50−$1.10
Will DJ Moore have 624.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.4000.375$7.50−$0.50
Will Team Spirit Make a Roster Change by December 31? · No0.8500.595$6.87−$2.95
Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 1,199.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.4600.340$6.80−$2.40
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026? · No0.4200.330$6.60−$1.80
Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? · No0.2700.230$4.60−$0.80
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026? · Yes0.2500.195$3.90−$1.10
Will FC Atyrau be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League? · Yes0.2900.155$3.10−$2.70
Will Parma be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A? · Yes0.4400.150$3.00−$5.80
Will Jared Goff have 4,599.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.2600.150$3.00−$2.20
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 5,000,000 and 5,200,000? · Yes0.0710.065$1.23−$0.11
Will Darker have the highest ACS at VALORANT Champions 2026? · Yes0.2000.036$0.72−$3.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 11:40Will CeeDee Lamb have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.68$13.60
10-12 10:40Will Drake Maye have 424.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.13$2.60
10-12 10:27Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?SELL0.62$12.16
10-12 10:18Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?SELL0.65$4.59
10-12 10:18Will Petr Mrazek record 4+ shutouts?SELL0.003$0.06
10-12 10:09Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 35%-40%?SELL0.3$6.00
10-12 09:58Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?SELL0.17$3.40
10-12 09:43Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?SELL0.293$5.86
10-12 09:33Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.38$4.86
10-12 09:31Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 3%-6%?SELL0.08$1.60
10-12 09:03Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 35%-40%?SELL0.654$13.08
10-12 06:24Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?SELL0.48$9.60
10-12 06:07Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October?SELL0.1$2.00
10-12 04:48Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?SELL0.834$12.48
10-12 04:23Will the Florida Panthers record 100+ points?SELL0.5$5.00