0x711966d0aeaa66a2c6fece5bba894d220cb7cbd8
0x711966d0aeaa66a2c6fece5bba894d220cb7cbd8
- Realised P&L
- $2.98
- Volume
- $272.69
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $11.05
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?
- +$3.72at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$2.59at 0.442Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.49at 0.452Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 11:58 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 12? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 03:58 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 19:57 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 11:42 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 03:03 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:01 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 10:48 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 01:53 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 17:52 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:28 | Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 22:35 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:32 | Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.6789998051 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 06:23 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.707999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 22:20 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:19 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |