PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Geckowolf

0x70e26237d6fef16527a1eee7399de142fe0d5c64

Realised P&L
$3.2k
Volume
$115.2k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$120.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.115$38.33$11.67
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · Yes0.1880.110$31.59$22.41
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · Yes0.0420.024$24.48$18.52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0770.021$13.31$36.69
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes0.1090.039$8.94$16.05
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31? · Yes0.0760.006$3.94$46.06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · No0.0440.001$0.33$28.67
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Half · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$200.00
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00$200.00
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$42.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$200.00
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$35.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00$680.98
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$100.00
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 17:57Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.0443048704$29.00
07-23 15:34Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.1089999962$25.00
07-23 15:32Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.0421506449$43.00
07-23 15:29Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31?BUY0.0761852521$50.00
07-23 15:24Iran coup attempt by December 31?BUY0.188023315$54.00
07-23 15:18Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999976$50.00
07-19 13:43Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.592499999$150.00
07-16 12:48Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0769999986$50.00
07-16 12:47Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.024$50.00
07-15 20:37Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY0.1858008968$50.00
07-14 19:50France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSELL0.3575$181.61
07-14 14:14Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsBUY0.25$40.00
07-14 14:13Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsBUY0.25$40.00
07-14 14:12Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?BUY0.0699999979$30.00
07-14 14:10France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5899999995$300.00