Geckowolf
0x70e26237d6fef16527a1eee7399de142fe0d5c64
- Realised P&L
- $3.2k
- Volume
- $115.2k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $120.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.014US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$1.3kat 0.060US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$800.00at 0.200Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$742.78at 0.045Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$409.03at 0.379US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 17:57 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.0443048704 | $29.00 |
| 07-23 15:34 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.1089999962 | $25.00 |
| 07-23 15:32 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.0421506449 | $43.00 |
| 07-23 15:29 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31? | BUY | 0.0761852521 | $50.00 |
| 07-23 15:24 | Iran coup attempt by December 31? | BUY | 0.188023315 | $54.00 |
| 07-23 15:18 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 13:43 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.592499999 | $150.00 |
| 07-16 12:48 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0769999986 | $50.00 |
| 07-16 12:47 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.024 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 20:37 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.1858008968 | $50.00 |
| 07-14 19:50 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.3575 | $181.61 |
| 07-14 14:14 | Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.25 | $40.00 |
| 07-14 14:13 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.25 | $40.00 |
| 07-14 14:12 | Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.0699999979 | $30.00 |
| 07-14 14:10 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5899999995 | $300.00 |