PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

goldeye

0x705d65de7b5b656053f31a20911fbde214b03438

Realised P&L
$-23.9k
Volume
$585.4k
Markets traded
255
Open portfolio
$7.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded255
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1250.105$4.3k$799.45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.3430.055$749.14$3.9k
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0800.360$700.44+$545.01
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3500.595$594.97+$244.99
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2430.553$276.75+$155.25
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.5001.000$199.90+$99.90
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2610.161$160.50$100.50
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.5100.284$55.96$44.50
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0500.040$12.61$3.35
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes0.2070.043$11.63$43.86
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.7301.000$10.07+$2.72
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1100.018$8.75$46.25
Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1070.002$0.45$31.55
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5) · Northern Iowa Panthers0.5100.000$0.00$408.00
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 · Under0.3420.000$0.00$291.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 22:15Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.103$170.91
08-31 22:15Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.103$618.00
08-27 17:53MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: Team to AdvanceBUY0.24$2.40
08-21 23:41Will Atalanta qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?BUY0.199$1.00
08-11 17:59FK Crvena zvezda vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Team to AdvanceBUY0.29$124.80
07-24 21:48Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.132$289.85
07-15 22:15Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.421$2.1k
07-11 21:59Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3125$343.75
06-26 20:24Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.12$480.00
06-26 18:30Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.118$17.06
06-26 16:44Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.117$66.32
06-11 01:11Spurs vs. KnicksBUY0.31$232.50
06-05 18:01Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.045$133.63
06-04 02:56Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.39$297.36
06-03 19:44Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.52$1.3k