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Traders

high-beta-trading-only

0x703d06b0f6f6c893876d43cd9b0b7977b9c380f6

Realised P&L
$-149.01
Volume
$40.1k
Markets traded
148
Open portfolio
$25.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded148
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? · No0.7000.865$6.18+$1.18
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.882$5.66+$0.66
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · No0.6100.505$4.14−$0.86
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? · No0.5900.475$4.02−$0.97
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.7460.947$2.89+$0.61
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.5800.935$1.78+$0.67
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? · No0.4900.170$0.58−$1.09
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.8770.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? · No0.2700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.6000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? · No0.4600.000$0.00−$2.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 20:33Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.903$9.03
09-26 20:49Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.69$6.90
09-16 22:19Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?BUY0.47$5.00
09-16 15:28Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?BUY0.831$5.00
09-14 03:42Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6$5.00
09-13 21:02Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.46$2.51
09-11 21:03Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?BUY0.33$5.00
09-11 08:23Will Russia enter Moskovka by September 30?SELL0.8$6.46
09-09 02:52Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?BUY0.57$5.00
09-06 03:49Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.42$5.00
08-29 18:48Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?BUY0.65$5.00
08-25 03:01Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.45$5.00
08-24 08:06Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?BUY0.68$5.00
08-24 07:22Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?BUY0.69$5.00
08-23 17:26Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?BUY0.39$5.00
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