altar07
0x702817724413a316e67b25aa13200444937fe0e9
- Realised P&L
- $-12.6k
- Volume
- $834.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,060
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,060
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$610.26at 0.460Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?
- +$585.43at 0.883Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
- +$542.35at 0.230Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?
- +$420.25at 0.751Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
- +$418.21at 0.461Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 16:58 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.973 | $19.46 |
| 09-18 15:04 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | BUY | 0.6999999945 | $25.30 |
| 09-18 15:04 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.973 | $19.46 |
| 09-18 15:02 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.974 | $5.84 |
| 09-17 10:53 | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999952 | $5.44 |
| 09-17 10:53 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 10:53 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 10:53 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 10:53 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 10:53 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $19.44 |
| 09-17 10:52 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999766 | $19.44 |
| 09-17 10:52 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $19.44 |
| 09-16 18:39 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.34 |
| 09-16 18:39 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 18:35 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |