altar07
0x702817724413a316e67b25aa13200444937fe0e9
- Realised P&L
- $-12.8k
- Volume
- $831.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,023
- Open portfolio
- $764.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,023
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$610.26at 0.460Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?
- +$585.43at 0.883Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
- +$542.35at 0.230Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?
- +$420.24at 0.751Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
- +$418.21at 0.461Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:39 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? | BUY | 0.7799999917 | $3.74 |
| 08-02 17:38 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? | SELL | 0.21 | $3.74 |
| 08-02 17:38 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? | BUY | 0.2599999629 | $4.63 |
| 08-01 21:00 | Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.69 | $20.14 |
| 08-01 07:21 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.3499999853 | $10.70 |
| 07-23 12:56 | Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.55 |
| 07-23 12:55 | Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.16 |
| 07-19 06:56 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 07-19 06:48 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.66 |
| 07-19 06:48 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $11.62 |
| 07-19 06:48 | Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? | SELL | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 07-19 06:47 | Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999573 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 06:47 | Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? | SELL | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 07-19 06:47 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 07-19 06:46 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |