PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

skunked

0x70077b0c3c240a7f183b542e1d6088391cabee64

Realised P&L
$-220.60
Volume
$12.6k
Markets traded
615
Open portfolio
$161.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded615
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · No0.8000.725$50.41−$5.21
Will Newt Gingrich attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.8930.877$43.87−$0.77
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? · No0.7500.615$36.00−$7.90
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? · No0.2100.195$9.75−$0.75
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · Yes0.2400.275$9.04+$1.15
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.2200.115$8.42−$7.68
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes0.6600.605$1.81−$0.17
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · No0.1400.145$1.69+$0.06
Will Newt Gingrich attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0810.122$0.45+$0.15
Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election? · No0.0770.032$0.03−$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 06:11Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in April?SELL0.04$2.08
04-09 14:07Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 6 above $370?SELL0.38$2.66
04-07 15:01Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 6 above $380?SELL0.13$1.43
04-07 14:11Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of April 6 above $149?SELL0.3$2.40
04-07 13:49Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of April 6 above $152?SELL0.23$2.53
04-06 15:11Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?BUY0.0509999905$4.57
04-06 15:07Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 on April 6?SELL0.83$4.98
04-06 15:05Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 on April 6?BUY0.8099999836$4.95
04-06 15:03Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in April?BUY0.09$4.59
04-06 15:03Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 6 above $290?BUY0.8$4.95
04-06 15:03Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 6 above $295?BUY0.64$4.95
04-03 09:25XRP Up or Down - April 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETSELL0.49$2.45
04-03 06:54Solana Up or Down - April 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETSELL0.47$4.23
04-03 06:34Solana Up or Down - April 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETSELL0.63$5.67
04-03 04:50XRP Up or Down - April 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSELL0.49$4.41