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Traders

celestat3123

0x6ff0a3f6a71b03ff03a4b690ca1439ba03e07760

Realised P&L
$-74.2k
Volume
$588.0k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$20.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1760.038$20.5k$73.0k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.1000.005$55.23$948.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-14 12:32Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.1$1.0k
05-14 12:30Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.114$1.0k
05-06 03:04Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?BUY0.0506506806$80.34
05-06 03:03Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.18$10.3k
05-05 06:01Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?BUY0.0599999999$656.38
05-05 05:56Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.4599999978$61.36
05-05 05:56Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.4294006647$188.64
05-05 05:50Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETBUY0.6559627974$353.70
05-05 05:48Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETBUY0.98$250.00
05-05 05:40Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.5227107617$192.83
05-05 05:36Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETBUY0.5158289405$250.00
05-05 05:36Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETSELL0.99$300.94
05-05 05:32Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY0.3289670999$100.00
05-04 18:32Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.4499999884$13.61
05-04 18:11Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.29$14.50
Trader celestat3123 · PolyBot Pro