xiaoqu8851
0x6fced88ccb06666b12ec8cfd2d71a7b3338fefd4
- Realised P&L
- $-289.50
- Volume
- $85.0k
- Markets traded
- 250
- Open portfolio
- $115.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded250
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$329.74at 0.898US forces enter Iran by March 14?
- +$327.15at 0.920US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
- +$180.75at 0.930Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
- +$118.76at 0.959Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$108.59at 0.870US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 02:04 | North Dakota State vs. Sacramento State: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 00:21 | Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5) | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 23:24 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? | BUY | 0.6799999238 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 22:46 | Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | SELL | 0.999 | $8.91 |
| 09-19 22:14 | LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 22:06 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 22:01 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 21:04 | Will Fram Reykjavik win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.61 |
| 09-19 20:57 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.601 | $0.17 |
| 09-19 20:42 | Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $8.60 |
| 09-19 20:36 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 20:17 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.952 | $9.91 |
| 09-19 16:44 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 16:43 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 15:27 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? | SELL | 0.99 | $19.04 |