PolyBot

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Traders

xiaoqu8851

0x6fced88ccb06666b12ec8cfd2d71a7b3338fefd4

Realised P&L
$-289.50
Volume
$85.0k
Markets traded
250
Open portfolio
$115.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded250
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.4700.455$9.68$0.32
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05? · Yes0.5700.495$8.68$1.32
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5200.855$8.23+$3.22
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.920$6.76+$1.76
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.3800.415$5.46+$0.46
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · No0.6800.725$5.33+$0.33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · No0.6400.675$5.27+$0.27
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3190.333$5.12+$0.21
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6200.629$5.08+$0.08
Will Fram Reykjavik win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.4800.525$5.05+$0.43
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6100.605$4.96$0.04
Bengals vs. Texans · Bengals0.4200.415$4.94$0.06
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5) · FlyQuest0.4100.405$4.94$0.06
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? · Yes0.2900.285$4.91$0.09
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0230.022$4.89$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 02:04North Dakota State vs. Sacramento State: O/U 50.5BUY0.5$5.00
09-20 00:21Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)BUY0.4099999984$5.00
09-19 23:24Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?BUY0.6799999238$5.00
09-19 22:46Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysSELL0.999$8.91
09-19 22:14LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.6099999756$5.00
09-19 22:06Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?BUY0.2899999884$5.00
09-19 22:01Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
09-19 21:04Will Fram Reykjavik win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.48$4.61
09-19 20:57Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.601$0.17
09-19 20:42Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5SELL0.999$8.60
09-19 20:36Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0229999999$5.00
09-19 20:17Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?SELL0.952$9.91
09-19 16:44Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)BUY0.3499999825$5.00
09-19 16:43Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.64$5.00
09-19 15:27Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?SELL0.99$19.04