notalkletsplay
0x6fb868e4bc34c8be25d8b6dad58f395bdb0d48f6
- Realised P&L
- $-695.56
- Volume
- $34.5k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $211.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.98at 0.380US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
- +$51.74at 0.360Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
- +$27.18at 0.279Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
- +$18.83at 0.550Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by July 31, 2026?
- +$18.03at 0.141Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 11:03 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $42.60 |
| 09-06 00:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 00:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 00:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 00:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $12.89 |
| 09-06 00:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 23:01 | Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $11.10 |
| 09-03 22:56 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.00 |
| 09-03 22:53 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $10.50 |
| 08-27 01:17 | Natural Disaster in 2026? | SELL | 0.7756 | $38.78 |
| 08-27 01:05 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $11.28 |
| 08-11 20:51 | Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.3 | $24.00 |
| 08-11 20:50 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.4 | $36.00 |
| 08-11 12:20 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.965 | $38.65 |
| 08-11 00:43 | Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? | BUY | 0.069 | $3.37 |