0xad15D9C0CD2Fe84E7b7ceC64Cbdb05E234759247-1774056809145
0x6f9f11a1cc84e3ba8ae441fb2fbaf4598cae17bc
- Realised P&L
- $-61.25
- Volume
- $753.18
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $10.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.295 | $4.33 | −$1.10 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.350 | $2.92 | −$1.58 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.199 | $2.90 | −$0.10 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? · No | 0.869 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.50 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET · Up | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET · Up | 0.586 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.48at 0.900US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
- +$4.50at 0.532LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs
- +$3.20at 0.858Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
- +$2.16at 0.788Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
- +$1.72at 0.849Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 20:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.964 | $5.29 |
| 08-29 20:50 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in August? | SELL | 0.993 | $5.98 |
| 08-29 20:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? | SELL | 0.994 | $11.83 |
| 08-21 03:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | SELL | 0.13 | $0.38 |
| 08-21 03:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 03:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | SELL | 0.3 | $1.40 |
| 08-21 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 03:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $2.65 |
| 08-21 03:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 03:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 03:04 | Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.34 | $2.26 |
| 08-21 03:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 03:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 03:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |