PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xad15D9C0CD2Fe84E7b7ceC64Cbdb05E234759247-1774056809145

0x6f9f11a1cc84e3ba8ae441fb2fbaf4598cae17bc

Realised P&L
$-61.25
Volume
$753.18
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$10.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3700.295$4.33−$1.10
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI? · Yes0.5400.350$2.92−$1.58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2050.199$2.90−$0.10
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.7300.000$0.00−$4.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? · No0.8690.000$0.00−$58.50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET · Up0.5700.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET · Up0.5860.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 20:50Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.964$5.29
08-29 20:50Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in August?SELL0.993$5.98
08-29 20:50Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?SELL0.994$11.83
08-21 03:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETSELL0.13$0.38
08-21 03:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETBUY0.33999983$1.00
08-21 03:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETSELL0.3$1.40
08-21 03:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETBUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-21 03:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
08-21 03:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETSELL0.49$2.65
08-21 03:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETBUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-21 03:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETBUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-21 03:04Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.34$2.26
08-21 03:04Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETBUY0.4799998272$1.00
08-21 03:03Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETBUY0.6799998912$1.00
08-21 03:03Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETBUY0.64$1.00