w3rg24
0x6f92acf279e949466b58fc6085142f08f6ea15d2
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $102.9k
- Markets traded
- 324
- Open portfolio
- $28.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded324
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.6kat 0.190Bears vs. Packers
- +$1.6kat 0.530Bucks vs. Pacers
- +$974.79at 0.580Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-04?
- +$866.58at 0.780Pelicans vs. Heat
- +$297.90at 0.500Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 05:11 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | BUY | 0.362908 | $18.15 |
| 07-12 05:11 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | BUY | 0.345 | $6.90 |
| 07-12 05:11 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | BUY | 0.3449974987 | $6.90 |
| 07-07 13:13 | Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 05-26 16:50 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.703 | $3.51 |
| 04-25 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25? | SELL | 0.34 | $8.70 |
| 04-20 14:41 | Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.10 |
| 04-05 16:36 | Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-05? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 04-02 11:21 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | SELL | 0.027 | $1.35 |
| 04-02 11:19 | Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more? | SELL | 0.19 | $4.80 |
| 04-02 11:18 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $79.94 |
| 04-02 11:16 | Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | SELL | 0.54 | $108.00 |
| 04-02 09:38 | Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 04-02 08:09 | Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.951 | $47.55 |
| 04-02 08:08 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $43.50 |